European Politics and Institutions

Scotland and the European Union

14 July 2016
Graham Avery (Senior Adviser to EPC on EU enlargement policy)

Britain’s referendum on EU membership revealed a country divided; while the United Kingdom voted to leave by 52%, Scotland voted by 62% to remain in the EU, putting the question of Scottish independence back on the table. The Scottish government says that Scotland should not be taken out of the EU against the will of its people, and that a second referendum on independence is “highly likely”. Although the Scottish people voted against independence in a referendum in 2014, opinion polls currently suggest that a majority in Scotland wants another referendum, and would vote for independence. In this Policy Brief, Graham Avery looks at how the Scottish question relates to the UK’s withdrawal from the EU; what factors have changed since the Scottish people voted against independence in 2014 and what Scotland‘s chances are of remaining in the EU.

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In this programme


Programme Team

Director of Studies

Janis A. Emmanouilidis

Head of European Politics and Institutions programme and Senior Policy Analyst

Corina Stratulat

Project Leader of ‘Connecting Europe’ and ‘FutureLab Europe’

Julian Rappold

Senior Policy Analyst

Amanda Paul

Junior Policy Analyst

Paul Butcher