EU lessons from the evacuation of Kabul: Part 2 – Critical factors in the failure to prepare for evacuation

Aug 18, 2023
REPORT
Photo credits: European Union
Mihai Sebastian Chihaia
Policy Analyst
Georg Riekeles
Associate Director and Head of Europe's Political Economy Programme
SEE MORE
The EU has yet to engage in a comprehensive ex-post evaluation of the factors of failure ahead of and during the critical summer months in 2021. By failing to deal with the past, one also does not learn about the future.

Building on the preceding chapter’s analysis of the events leading up to and during the evacuation of Kabul, this paper identifies three main factors in the West’s Kabul fiasco: a collective failure of anticipation, NATO groupthink and dependence on the US, and the absence of European will and capabilities.

This is the second Paper of a three-part Report examining the evacuation of Kabul, and the combined failures of NATO and the EU, amid the war in Ukraine. The Report is structured in three parts:

  1. A description of the central decision moments leading up to and during the evacuation from Afghanistan.
  2. An assessment of the main factors contributing to failure in anticipation, planning and execution.
  3. Recommendations regarding the EU’s crisis management architecture and capacity in the context of the implementation of the Strategic Compass.



Read the full paper here.

Related publications

By the same authors

EPC ROUND-UP
Jun 16, 2026
by Amanda Paul, Paul Taylor, Chris Kremidas-Courtney, Mihai Sebastian Chihaia
COMPENDIUM
Jun 15, 2026
by Amanda Paul, Svitlana Taran, Juraj Majcin, Iana Maisuradze, Christian Mölling, Jamie Shea, Paul Taylor, Almut Möller, HE Tacan Ildem, Oana Lungescu, Benedetta Berti, Chris Kremidas-Courtney, Torben Schütz, Ricardo Borges de Castro, Jennifer Kavanagh, Mihai Sebastian Chihaia, Danylo Dugin
PUBLICATION
May 26, 2026
by Georg Riekeles, Elizabeth Kuiper, Paweł Świeboda, Varg Folkman, Fabian Zuleeg, Edward Fishman, Bart Hogeveen, Jessica Moss, Maria Demertzis, Bianca Baumler
This website uses cookies. By continuing to use this website you are giving consent to cookies being used. More information is available in our Privacy Policy